UDFCD Heavy Rainfall Guidance
UDFCD Heavy Rainfall Threat Analysis 2019

Daily Summary: June 17, 2019

Updated: 4:45 PM

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Quality Control: INSERT FORECAST COMMENT HERE

QPF-Max* Maximum 1-hour rainfall forecasted over the District
POP-1hr** Probability of Precipitation (POP) exceeding 1 inch in 1-hour across all zones
Threat Threat levels: None, Low, Mod, High or Very High
All Zones 1.68 inches 55% HIGH

Zone POP-1hr
Primetime The best estimate of timing for heavy precipitation
Threat
A 16% 3PM - 1AM LOW
B 15% 3PM - 5PM LOW
C 23% 4PM - 10PM MOD
D 35% 3PM - 10PM HIGH
E 41% 3PM - 1AM HIGH
QPF-Max*: Maximum 1-hour rainfall.
POP-1hr**: Probability of Precipitation

exceeding 1 inch in 1-hour.

1-hr QFPMAX

Zone-specific Forecasts

Zone A: Northern Foothills

ZONE A: Overall Threat LOW
% precipitation >90%
% exceeding 1in. in 1hr 16%
% exceeding 2.25in. in 3hr <5%
% exceeding 3.5in. in 6hr <5%
% exceeding 4.5in. in 24hr <5%
Primetime 3PM - 1AM
North Foothills

Zone B: Southern Foothills

ZONE B: Overall Threat LOW
% precipitation >90%
% exceeding 1in. in 1hr 15%
% exceeding 2.25in. in 3hr <5%
% exceeding 3.5in. in 6hr <5%
% exceeding 4.5in. in 24hr <5%
Primetime 3PM - 5PM
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Zone C: Palmer Divide

ZONE C: Overall Threat MOD
% precipitation >90%
% exceeding 1in. in 1hr 23%
% exceeding 2.25in. in 3hr <5%
% exceeding 3.5in. in 6hr <5%
% exceeding 4.5in. in 24hr <5%
Primetime 4PM - 10PM
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Zone D: Central Metro

ZONE D: Overall Threat HIGH
% precipitation >90%
% exceeding 1in. in 1hr 35%
% exceeding 2.25in. in 3hr <5%
% exceeding 3.5in. in 6hr <5%
% exceeding 4.5in. in 24hr <5%
Primetime 3PM - 10PM
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Zone E: Northern Metro

ZONE E: Overall Threat HIGH
% precipitation >90%
% exceeding 1in. in 1hr 41%
% exceeding 2.25in. in 3hr <5%
% exceeding 3.5in. in 6hr <5%
% exceeding 4.5in. in 24hr <5%
Primetime 3PM - 1AM
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